← Wallets
−$243Yes · avg 75¢ → 71¢ · $4,153+$87No · avg 80¢ → 88¢ · $918−$3Yes · avg 84¢ → 84¢ · $588+$5No · avg 83¢ → 84¢ · $468+$332Yes · avg 5.1¢ → 18¢ · $460 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$31Yes · avg 81¢ → 88¢ · $366+$23No · avg 75¢ → 82¢ · $301−$5No · avg 83¢ → 82¢ · $285
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +20.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+20.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$12.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$13.8k
Last 30 days +$529 · $1.07M volume · 10,154 trades · since Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$64.2k
Open P&L · 78 positions
+$380
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
827d
1962 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +20.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $12.0k | called |
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