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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$99.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$10.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $259.1k volume · 1,090 trades · since Dec 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$20.0k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$9,500
Closed-position win rate
33%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
318d
9 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1e04e7…