guymiron

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$33.5k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$2,142

Last 30 days +$0 · $355.8k volume · 1,313 trades · since Feb 28, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$1,992

Open P&L · 2 positions

−$145

Closed-position win rate

50%

100 closed

Wallet age · markets

—

150 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$11.9k	0%	191d ago	excluded
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97¢	$11.5k	97%	193d ago	called
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW SELL No @ 97.8¢	$10.2k	2%	218d ago	excluded

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$11.9k

LOW guymiron · 191d ago

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?called

BUY No @ 97¢$11.5k

LOW guymiron · 193d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 97.8¢$10.2k

LOW guymiron · 218d ago

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