0x1925…1baa

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?−$0No · avg 97¢ → 97¢ · $35

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$20.8k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$4

Last 30 days +$1 · $24.7k volume · 52 trades · since Oct 11, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$4

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$0

Closed-position win rate

46%

37 closed

Wallet age · markets

747d

24 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢	$10.4k	1%	257d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$10.4k	99%	257d ago	excluded

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.1¢$10.4k

LOW 0x1925…1baa · 257d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$10.4k

LOW 0x1925…1baa · 257d ago

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