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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$22.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$13.3k
Last 30 days −$0 · $2.34M volume · 14,609 trades · since Feb 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,623
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$185
Closed-position win rate
64%
392 closed
Wallet age · markets
260d
324 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x15f7dd…