mhass33

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?−$274Yes · avg 29¢ → 28¢ · $5,123 · 0 proven with, 1 against Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?−$119Yes · avg 17¢ → 3.4¢ · $29

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$28.9k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$16.0k

Last 30 days −$120 · $178.0k volume · 98 trades · since Mar 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$22.2k

Open P&L · 13 positions

−$6,412

Closed-position win rate

100%

1 closed

Wallet age · markets

573d

14 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢	$28.9k	0%	237d ago	excluded

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.6¢$28.9k

LOW mhass33 · 237d ago

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