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0x08ce…295e

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$407.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$309.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $29.19M volume · 7,782 trades · since Oct 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$385.5k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$31.7k
Closed-position win rate
43%
83 closed
Wallet age · markets
388d
56 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $23.8k100% 332d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $16.6k90% 333d agocalled
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?MED SELL No @ 95.1¢ $26.6k5% 333d agomissed
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $123.8k
4.6× usual
99% 337d agoexcluded
US recession in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 95.3¢ $17.4k5% 352d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY No @ 8.5¢ $11.4k8% 354d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ $65.8k
2.4× usual
87% 359d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED SELL Yes @ 90¢ $27.4k10% 360d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY Yes @ 88¢ $38.3k88% 360d agocalled
US recession in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $56.1k
2.1× usual
94% 387d agocalled
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$23.8k
LOW 0x08ce…295e · 332d ago
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?called
BUY No @ 90¢$16.6k
LOW 0x08ce…295e · 333d ago
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?missed
SELL No @ 95.1¢$26.6k
MED 0x08ce…295e · 333d ago
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 98.6¢$123.8k
LOW 0x08ce…295e · 337d ago
US recession in 2025?missed
SELL No @ 95.3¢$17.4k
LOW 0x08ce…295e · 352d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?missed
BUY No @ 8.5¢$11.4k
LOW 0x08ce…295e · 354d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called
BUY Yes @ 87¢$65.8k
LOW 0x08ce…295e · 359d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?missed
SELL Yes @ 90¢$27.4k
MED 0x08ce…295e · 360d ago
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called
BUY Yes @ 88¢$38.3k
MED 0x08ce…295e · 360d ago
US recession in 2025?called
BUY No @ 94¢$56.1k
LOW 0x08ce…295e · 387d ago

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x08ce26…