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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did +28.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+28.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$362.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$654.1k
Last 30 days −$0 · $6.35M volume · 1,889 trades · since Aug 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.09M
Open P&L · 50 positions
−$452.8k
Closed-position win rate
50%
111 closed
Wallet age · markets
803d
125 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | +28.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 42¢ | $31.8k | called |
 Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 69¢ | $100.0k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | MED BUY Argentina @ 86¢ | $171.3k 6.3× usual |
called |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Canada @ 72¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x088ba5…