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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$53.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$15.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $540.8k volume · 644 trades · since Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$17.3k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$1,087
Closed-position win rate
97%
232 closed
Wallet age · markets
194d
238 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0778f4…