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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$88.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$41.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $16.52M volume · 29,108 trades · since Jan 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$321.4k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$7,818
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
643d
1979 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $39.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0523ff…