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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -83.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-83.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$53.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $448.2k volume · 54 trades · since Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$21.4k
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$45.9k
Closed-position win rate
73%
11 closed
Wallet age · markets
124d
25 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -83.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $17.8k | missed |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $14.0k | called |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 33¢ | $11.9k | missed |
 Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $10.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x02aa39…