← Wallets
+$3,268Yes · avg 7.8¢ → 24¢ · $4,889+$2,468Yes · avg 7.6¢ → 20¢ · $4,055+$21No · avg 72¢ → 72¢ · $3,418+$1,447Yes · avg 3.1¢ → 12¢ · $1,924+$49No · avg 27¢ → 27¢ · $1,894+$855Yes · avg 3¢ → 5.9¢ · $1,741+$893Yes · avg 3¢ → 6.7¢ · $1,632+$997Yes · avg 4¢ → 16¢ · $1,340
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -5.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-5.2 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$204.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$135.7k
Last 30 days +$21.2k · $9.68M volume · 9,748 trades · since May 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$399.1k
Open P&L · 138 positions
+$8,114
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
148d
655 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -5.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL Yes @ 76¢ | $37.0k | missed |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 76¢ | $13.8k | missed |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $18.5k | called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $19.0k | called |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $40.8k | missed |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 92.6¢ | $39.0k | called |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 94.8¢ | $36.5k | missed |
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