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fuxfux007

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -7.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?−$287Yes · avg 52¢ → 51¢ · $19.7k
Price-adjusted edge
-7.6 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$919.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$794.5k
Last 30 days −$2,395 · $4.14M volume · 237 trades · since Jun 27, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$245.8k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$1.04M
Closed-position win rate
100%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
484d
8 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports100.1-7.6 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $160.5k
3.8× usual
0% 96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ $18.2k18% 109d agocalled
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 7.6¢ $10.1k8% 111d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?HIGH BUY No @ 32¢ $139.1k
3.3× usual
32% 478d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY No @ 31¢ $25.7k31% 478d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $34.2k69% 481d agocalled
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?HIGH BUY No @ 33¢ $102.4k
2.4× usual
33% 481d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY No @ 33¢ $57.2k33% 481d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY No @ 31¢ $24.4k31% 482d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW BUY No @ 34¢ $11.3k34% 482d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY No @ 33¢ $85.8k
2.0× usual
33% 482d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY No @ 32¢ $65.8k32% 482d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?HIGH BUY No @ 33¢ $110.9k
2.6× usual
33% 482d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY No @ 30¢ $31.2k30% 483d agomissed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY No @ 26¢ $42.8k26% 483d agomissed

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