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What this means. A wallet put $110.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -23.0 pts vs the price over 30 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$110.4k
BUY No @ 48¢ · 229,979 shares
Size ≥ $100k2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gransaaa took No (buy) for $110.4k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $110.4k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $110.4k
- Placed
- Aug 24, 00:59 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 24, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gransaaa
- Tx
- 0xf84a381f…
This wallet's graded record
8/30-23.0 pts
expected 14.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsNo price · entry 48¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $43.9k | missed |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY No @ 50¢ | $99.4k 2.8× usual |
missed |