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What this means. A wallet put $30.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded
$30.4k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 30,474 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet madril took No (sell) for $30.4k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $30.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
0.4%
Size
$30.4k
Placed
Jan 12, 04:57 EST
Market close
Feb 01, 00:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
madril
Tx
0xefd4e919…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.1k0% 0x0c8e…d854267d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% 0x22ae…8815268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% 0x9cb9…8397268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% 0x13d0…4d1b268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% 0x1ac3…d56e268d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% 0x3b90…c759268d agoexcluded