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What this means. A wallet put $121.9k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$121.9k
SELL Under @ 99.9¢ · 121,991 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet bluemario took Under (sell) for $121.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $121.9k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $121.9k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 11:44 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 09:40 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- bluemario
- Tx
- 0xdd18ff3d…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-50.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 93¢ | $95.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |