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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on Jaime Faria, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.0k
BUY Jaime Faria @ 54¢ · 20,458 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Luzzzer took Jaime Faria (buy) for $11.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Mika Brunold. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−116American odds
$1.00paid per share if Jaime Faria wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 53.8%
- As American odds
- −116 no vig
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 07:35 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 24, 07:20 EDT
- Result
- Mika Brunold
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Luzzzer
- Tx
- 0xcc4de528…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -54 ptsJaime Faria price · entry 54¢ · resolved Mika Brunold
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Mika Brunold | $24.7k | 86¢ | 6h ago |
| YES Mika Brunold | $22.2k | 69¢ | 6h ago |
| NO Jaime Faria | $32.1k | 58¢ | 6h ago |
| YES Jaime Faria | $23.4k | 42¢ | 6h ago |
| YES Mika Brunold | $18.8k | 59¢ | 6h ago |
| NO Jaime Faria | $13.8k | 60¢ | 7h ago |
| YES Mika Brunold | $28.4k | 60¢ | 7h ago |
| YES Mika Brunold | $14.8k | 79¢ | 7h ago |