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What this means. A wallet put $292.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$292.6k
SELL No @ 98.3¢ · 297,629 shares in 21 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side21 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletCrypto
What happened
Wallet 0x531d…aa57 took No (sell) for $292.6k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $292.6k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
21 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 1.7%
- Size
- $292.6k
- Placed
- Apr 20, 08:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x531d…aa57
- Tx
- 0xbf4ab6fa…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $45.0k | excluded |