← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $82.1k on not Up, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$82.1k
SELL Up @ 99.6¢ · 82,468 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletCrypto
What happened
Wallet 0xe5e1…badc took Up (sell) for $82.1k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Up. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $82.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.4%
- Size
- $82.1k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 16:31 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 16:30 EDT
- Result
- Up
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xe5e1…badc
- Tx
- 0xaa6b4f65…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsUp price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved Up · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.