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What this means. A wallet put $16.9k on Under, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5excluded
$16.9k
BUY Under @ 15¢ · 112,497 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet bluemario took Under (buy) for $16.9k at an average 15¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 15¢ means
15%chance the market gave
+567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
15¢
Implied odds
15.0%
As American odds
+567 no vig
Size
$16.9k
Placed
Oct 23, 15:11 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 14:45 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
bluemario
Tx
0x8837dfbd…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-50.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -15 pts
Under price · entry 15¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 15¢ · $16.9k WHALE $16.9K @ 15¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% Aleksey19931d agoexcluded
Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $11.2k0% Mh849023091d agoexcluded