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What this means. A wallet put $29.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 29,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet madril took No (buy) for $29.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $29.0k
- Placed
- Dec 09, 08:11 EST
- Market close
- Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- madril
- Tx
- 0x7785b9cd…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $36.1k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $36.1k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $28.9k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $27.9k | excluded |