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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?excluded
$50.0k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 50,200 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletPolitics

What happened

Wallet 0x77a3…9d2f took No (buy) for $50.0k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $50.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
5 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
99.7%
Size
$50.0k
Placed
Jul 31, 02:56 EDT
Market close
Jun 01, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x77a3…9d2f
Tx
0x4a88c8f0…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $50.1k100% cds22968 NEW81d agoexcluded
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $50.1k100% 0xbe78…2974 NEW84d agoexcluded
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $50.1k100% 0x3a5c…b0aa NEW84d agoexcluded
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?MED BUY No @ 99.7¢ $60.1k100% 0xe5a6…b0ca NEW85d agoexcluded
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $10.0k0% 0x77a3…9d2f NEW85d agoexcluded
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?MED BUY No @ 99.7¢ $50.0k100% 0xb1fc…4a1b NEW86d agoexcluded