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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on Alexander Bublik, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
BUY Alexander Bublik @ 45¢ · 26,353 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x760f…326a took Alexander Bublik (buy) for $11.9k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Alexander Bublik. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+121American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alexander Bublik wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.3%
- As American odds
- +121 no vig
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Oct 11, 06:48 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 11, 06:05 EDT
- Result
- Alexander Bublik
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x760f…326a
- Tx
- 0x05c83030…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+43.3 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +55 ptsAlexander Bublik price · entry 45¢ · resolved Alexander Bublik
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | LOW SELL Alexander Bublik @ 99.9¢ | $57.3k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | LOW BUY Brandon Nakashima @ 47¢ | $49.3k | excluded |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | LOW BUY Alexander Bublik @ 46¢ | $19.0k | excluded |