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What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.5k
SELL Yes @ 96.9¢ · 11,842 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet XAE12Archangel took Yes (sell) for $11.5k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.9¢
- Implied odds
- 3.1%
- Size
- $11.5k
- Placed
- May 11, 02:16 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- XAE12Archangel
- Tx
- 0xe8faf642…
This wallet's graded record
13/19+5.4 pts
expected 12.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $150.8k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $248.4k 8.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $256.9k 9.0× usual |
excluded |