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What this means. A wallet put $712.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 11% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$712.6k
SELL No @ 89¢ · 805,175 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side8 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet JambonMogettes took No (sell) for $712.6k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 11% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $712.6k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
8 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 11.5%
- As American odds
- +770 no vig
- Size
- $712.6k
- Placed
- Jun 17, 07:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- JambonMogettes
- Tx
- 0xd7a5904d…
This wallet's graded record
1/4+1.4 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |