← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $56.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$56.4k
SELL No @ 91.5¢ · 61,601 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x889e…09e0 took No (sell) for $56.4k at an average 91.5¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $56.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91.5¢
- Implied odds
- 8.5%
- Size
- $56.4k
- Placed
- Feb 10, 18:21 EST
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x889e…09e0
- Tx
- 0xd5e0434d…
This wallet's graded record
4/5+27.5 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.4k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $369.4k 9.9× usual |
excluded |