← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $59.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$59.9k
SELL No @ 74¢ · 80,931 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet wan123 took No (sell) for $59.9k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $59.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 26.0%
- Size
- $59.9k
- Placed
- Mar 01, 16:25 EST
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wan123
- Tx
- 0xc2e597b9…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.4k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $369.4k 9.9× usual |
excluded |