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What this means. A wallet put $57.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$57.5k
BUY Yes @ 95¢ · 60,529 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet IlIIllIIIllIIl took Yes (buy) for $57.5k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $57.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $57.5k
- Placed
- Mar 08, 21:49 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- IlIIllIIIllIIl
- Tx
- 0x56da9828…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-95.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $47.4k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.2k | excluded |