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Patriots vs. Bearsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on Patriots, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Bearsexcluded$16.0k
BUY Patriots @ 31¢ · 51,436 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Patriots (buy) for $16.0k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+221American odds
$1.00paid per share if Patriots wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.1%
- As American odds
- +221 no vig
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 21:07 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0x29cfa979…
This wallet's graded record
12/22-4.4 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsPatriots price · entry 31¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Patriots @ 19¢ | $31.1k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 70¢ | $107.0k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW BUY Bears @ 73¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW BUY Patriots @ 32¢ | $12.1k | excluded |