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Lions vs. Billscalled
What this means. A wallet put $267.8k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lions vs. Billscalled$267.8k
BUY Bills @ 72¢ · 373,869 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $250k8 fills in 1h18.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Herdonia took Bills (buy) for $267.8k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $267.8k+3
8 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−252American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 71.6%
- As American odds
- −252 no vig
- Size
- $267.8k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 16:28 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Herdonia
- Tx
- 0xe470652e…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-4.8 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +28 ptsBills price · entry 72¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $85.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 99.9¢ | $111.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.6¢ | $51.5k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.2¢ | $71.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 94¢ | $204.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded |