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What this means. A wallet put $22.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.8k
BUY No @ 95.9¢ · 23,725 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet ImJustKen took No (buy) for $22.8k at an average 95.9¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2339American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.9¢
- Implied odds
- 95.9%
- Size
- $22.8k
- Placed
- Jan 21, 17:24 EST
- Market close
- Jan 24, 02:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ImJustKen
- Tx
- 0xe4049600…
This wallet's graded record
6/12+1.4 pts
expected 5.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +4 ptsNo price · entry 95.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $30.1k | excluded |