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What this means. A wallet put $46.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$46.0k
BUY Yes @ 96.8¢ · 47,519 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.1× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took Yes (buy) for $46.0k at an average 96.8¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $46.0k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3025American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.8¢
- Implied odds
- 96.8%
- Size
- $46.0k
- Placed
- Jan 21, 15:29 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 09:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0xe07030a7…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsYes price · entry 96.8¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $46.6k | excluded |