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What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.6k
SELL No @ 95¢ · 16,370 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet XAE12Archangel took No (sell) for $15.6k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 5.0%
- Size
- $15.6k
- Placed
- Mar 06, 04:47 EST
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- XAE12Archangel
- Tx
- 0xc726bd76…
This wallet's graded record
13/19+5.4 pts
expected 12.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $44.6k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $59.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $133.9k 5.4× usual |
excluded |