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What this means. A wallet put $27.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-0.0 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.6k
BUY No @ 79¢ · 35,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Arbguy took No (buy) for $27.6k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−376American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- Size
- $27.6k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 15:16 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 18, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Arbguy
- Tx
- 0xc15110d2…
This wallet's graded record
15/23-0.0 pts
expected 15.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $51.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $66.1k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $31.1k | excluded |