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What this means. A wallet put $18.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?called
$18.3k
BUY No @ 94¢ · 19,425 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther

What happened

Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $18.3k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.3k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
94¢
Implied odds
94.0%
Size
$18.3k
Placed
Apr 07, 17:36 EDT
Market close
Apr 15, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ScottyNooo
Tx
0xba1a0f58…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +6 pts
No price · entry 94¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 94¢ · $18.3k WHALE $18.3K @ 94¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% anoin123191d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.9k100% ScottyNooo PROVEN191d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.5k100% onekey09192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $30.1k100% esports095192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $52.2k0% sameday1192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $34.7k100% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM192d agoexcluded