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Spread: Thunder (-8.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $54.8k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.2 pts over 26 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)missed$54.8k
BUY Nuggets @ 51¢ · 107,052 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet texaskid took Nuggets (buy) for $54.8k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $54.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.2%
- As American odds
- −105 no vig
- Size
- $54.8k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 12:33 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- texaskid
- Tx
- 0x8f0d1e2b…
This wallet's graded record
12/26-10.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsNuggets price · entry 51¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 51¢ | $88.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 47¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 47¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 49¢ | $14.7k | called |