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Spread: Spurs (-11.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $43.7k on Spurs, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)missed$43.7k
BUY Spurs @ 51¢ · 85,824 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x3625…1187 took Spurs (buy) for $43.7k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Trail Blazers, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $43.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spurs wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.9%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $43.7k
- Placed
- Apr 21, 04:21 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 21, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Trail Blazers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x3625…1187
- Tx
- 0x6145a33f…
This wallet's graded record
5/12-19.2 pts
expected 7.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsSpurs price · entry 51¢ · resolved Trail Blazers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 54¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | MED BUY Spurs @ 48¢ | $96.9k | missed |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 52¢ | $185.5k | called |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 52¢ | $14.6k | called |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 52¢ | $14.6k | called |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 52¢ | $20.2k | called |