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What this means. A wallet put $36.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$36.7k
SELL No @ 91.8¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet hild took No (sell) for $36.7k at an average 91.8¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $36.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91.8¢
- Implied odds
- 8.2%
- Size
- $36.7k
- Placed
- Mar 10, 09:48 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hild
- Tx
- 0x56a3ce23…
This wallet's graded record
5/9-2.9 pts
expected 5.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $44.6k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $59.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $133.9k 5.4× usual |
excluded |