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Government shutdown on Saturday?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $23.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -17.7 pts vs the price over 33 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Government shutdown on Saturday?excluded$23.7k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 23,854 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet SwissMiss took No (buy) for $23.7k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−19900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $23.7k
- Placed
- Feb 14, 19:10 EST
- Market close
- Feb 13, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- SwissMiss
- Tx
- 0x24a41b2f…
This wallet's graded record
22/33-17.7 pts
expected 27.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $468.2k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $79.8k | excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $71.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $34.9k | excluded |