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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -21.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.7k
BUY Yes @ 30¢ · 42,759 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet denizz took Yes (buy) for $12.7k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+237American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 29.7%
- Size
- $12.7k
- Placed
- Jul 31, 04:59 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- denizz
- Tx
- 0x1b5e42f2…
This wallet's graded record
7/24-21.7 pts
expected 12.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +70 ptsYes price · entry 30¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $33.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $14.2k | excluded |