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What this means. A wallet put $64.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?called
$64.1k
BUY Yes @ 93¢ · 68,899 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.5× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet big.bitch took Yes (buy) for $64.1k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $64.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
93¢
Implied odds
93.0%
Size
$64.1k
Placed
Feb 28, 16:36 EST
Market close
Mar 03, 19:58 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
big.bitch
Tx
0x13cd8448…
This wallet's graded record
13/15+1.9 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +7 pts
Yes price · entry 93¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 93¢ · $64.1k WHALE $64.1K @ 93¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.5k0% Malfunction.234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% bosshog235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $161.5k
8.1× usual
0% Thomas58235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% randomlypunting235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% 100x235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $89.9k0% alliswell235d agoexcluded