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What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.0k
SELL No @ 71¢ · 18,442 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Maratk87 took No (sell) for $13.0k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 71¢
- Implied odds
- 29.4%
- Size
- $13.0k
- Placed
- Mar 24, 23:48 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Maratk87
- Tx
- 0x0ba3d423…
This wallet's graded record
1/4+3.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +71 ptsNo price · entry 71¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $34.5k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $77.8k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $18.0k | called |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 76¢ | $21.7k | missed |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 14¢ | $11.2k | called |