Maratk87

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +3.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+3.0 pts

Called / graded

1/4

Expected from price

0.9

Flagged volume

$114.5k

Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.1 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$191.6k

Last 30 days +$0 · $2.80M volume · 1,833 trades · since Mar 06, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$192.3k

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$725

Closed-position win rate

39%

46 closed

Wallet age · markets

232d

47 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	4	1	0.9	+3.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	LOW SELL No @ 89¢	$11.9k	11%	184d ago	missed
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW SELL Yes @ 11¢	$10.6k	89%	200d ago	called
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW SELL Yes @ 13¢	$13.6k	87%	201d ago	called
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 19¢	$26.6k 2.0× usual	19%	209d ago	missed
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	MED SELL No @ 88¢	$25.6k	12%	212d ago	missed
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	LOW SELL No @ 71¢	$13.0k	29%	213d ago	called
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	LOW SELL No @ 65¢	$13.2k	35%	216d ago	missed

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?missed

SELL No @ 89¢$11.9k

LOW Maratk87 · 184d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

SELL Yes @ 11¢$10.6k

LOW Maratk87 · 200d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

SELL Yes @ 13¢$13.6k

LOW Maratk87 · 201d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?missed

BUY Yes @ 19¢$26.6k

MED Maratk87 · 209d ago

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?missed

SELL No @ 88¢$25.6k

MED Maratk87 · 212d ago

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?called

SELL No @ 71¢$13.0k

LOW Maratk87 · 213d ago

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?missed

SELL No @ 65¢$13.2k

LOW Maratk87 · 216d ago

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