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What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?called
$14.7k
BUY No @ 78¢ · 18,898 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tourists took No (buy) for $14.7k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
78¢
Implied odds
78.0%
Size
$14.7k
Placed
Jul 07, 15:02 EDT
Market close
Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tourists
Tx
0x00bfcfd0…
This wallet's graded record
13/14+13.0 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $26.2k100% bondor56d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $14.0k100% tianjiyuyunzhilu56d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $99.6k
2.6× usual
100% scout56d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ $13.1k1% tetrase59d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $109.3k
3.7× usual
99% Trump202864d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $27.4k1% mr.ozi65d agoexcluded