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What this means. A wallet put $1.79M on Spain, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.79M
BUY Spain @ 44¢ · 4,105,828 shares in 24 fills
Size ≥ $250k24 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet DEEDDIT took Spain (buy) for $1.79M at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.79M+3
24 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+129American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 43.7%
- As American odds
- +129 no vig
- Size
- $1.79M
- Placed
- Jul 14, 14:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- DEEDDIT
- Tx
- 0xfcb6dfd1…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+36.1 pts
expected 4.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +56 ptsSpain price · entry 44¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $246.3k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $41.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ | $51.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |