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What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on Over, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.4k
BUY Over @ 68¢ · 18,200 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Over (buy) for $12.4k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Over, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- As American odds
- −213 no vig
- Size
- $12.4k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 08:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xf3ce983f…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsOver price · entry 68¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $44.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 51¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 48¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | MED BUY Over @ 62¢ | $97.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded |