← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 10,047 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet hawkj took No (sell) for $10.0k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.4%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 10:02 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hawkj
- Tx
- 0xf384d5f1…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+6.5 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.4k | excluded |