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Cavaliers vs. Bucksmissed
What this means. A wallet put $28.1k on Cavaliers, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Cavaliers vs. Bucksmissed$28.1k
BUY Cavaliers @ 60¢ · 47,114 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Soarin22 took Cavaliers (buy) for $28.1k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Bucks, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $28.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−147American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cavaliers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 59.5%
- As American odds
- −147 no vig
- Size
- $28.1k
- Placed
- Feb 25, 16:03 EST
- Market close
- Feb 25, 20:00 EST
- Result
- Bucks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Soarin22
- Tx
- 0xec3791b3…
This wallet's graded record
10/18+2.7 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -60 ptsCavaliers price · entry 60¢ · resolved Bucks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | LOW SELL Bucks @ 99¢ | $37.9k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 59¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | LOW SELL Bucks @ 42¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | MED BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ | $134.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |