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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.7 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Yes @ 4¢ · 500,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Jsram took Yes (buy) for $20.0k at an average 4¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $20.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 4¢ means
4%chance the market gave
+2400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 4¢
- Implied odds
- 4.0%
- As American odds
- +2400 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Jun 10, 05:21 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 03:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Jsram
- Tx
- 0xea1e69bd…
This wallet's graded record
11/33+3.7 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $28.0k | called |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 5¢ | $13.0k | called |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 5.3¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $17.2k | missed |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 3.2¢ | $16.2k | called |