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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
SELL Yes @ 79¢ · 14,927 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet deellama took Yes (sell) for $11.8k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 20.9%
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Mar 04, 23:51 EST
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- deellama
- Tx
- 0xe532ee18…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+79.1 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 9.3× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $97.4k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |